Even though I began writing my blog in 2011, my first few years were mostly about learning from mistakes. The market environment was also not very favorable at that time. My best stock pick came partly due to luck and maybe a bit of skill during the period from December 2014 to December 2015. It was Intrasoft Technologies Ltd. I wrote a blog post on 10 December 2014 when the stock was at ₹52 and added more at ₹45 on 19 December 2014.
https://value2wealth.blogspot.com/2014/12/e-commerce-intrasoft-technologies-ltd.html
https://value2wealth.blogspot.com/2014/12/conclusion-intrasoft-technologies-ltd.html
The stock later touched ₹827 on 22 December 2015 — nearly a 16x return in just one year. This turned out to be the best return for some of my blog-follower friends. I had given a sell call around ₹550, and today the stock is around ₹100. The company couldn’t deliver as promised, and the e-commerce frenzy eventually subsided. Although it remains one of my best picks because it generated about a 10.5x return for me in a year, if we assume that we are still holding the stock, then it no longer qualifies as one of my best picks.
Today I going to calculate my blog picks performance and opportunity to boast my performance even though I know reality it was just luck. I am starting from Dec2014 since before that learning period and done lot of mistakes and learnt from those.
|
Stock Name |
Link |
Date |
Absolute Price |
Adjusted Price |
Adjusted Price comments |
CMP(Nov 2025) |
CAGR |
|
Intrasoft Technologies |
10-Dec-14 |
52 |
52 |
97 |
5.33 |
||
|
Olympia Industries |
16-07-2015 |
165 |
165 |
35.9 |
-11.92 |
||
|
TechNVision Ventures |
07-10-2015 |
45 |
45 |
6338 |
63.49 |
||
|
Privi Speciality |
05-11-2015 |
225 |
150 |
Received 1 share of Fairchem Organics for every 3 shares of ADI Finechem |
3154 |
35.59 |
|
|
BLUE CHIP TEX |
24-07-2016 |
100 |
100 |
133 |
2.9 |
||
|
Garden Reach Shipbuilders |
14-07-2019 |
117.5 |
112.5 |
Ex date for Rs 5 dividend was very close |
2793 |
69.66 |
Every portfolio has both winners and losers. In this case as well, three stocks performed very well while the other three performed poorly. Now, let’s assume that in December 2014 I had a corpus of ₹1.2 crore and invested ₹20 lakh in each of the six stocks. It is interesting to see what the value of these six stocks would be today if they had all been held until now.
|
Stock Name |
Adjusted Price |
Amount |
Quantity |
CMP(Nov 2025) |
Current Value |
comments |
|
Intrasoft Technologies |
52 |
2000000 |
38462 |
97 |
3730769.23 |
|
|
Olympia Industries |
165 |
2000000 |
12121 |
35.9 |
435151.52 |
|
|
TechNVision Ventures |
45 |
2000000 |
44444 |
6338 |
281688888.89 |
|
|
Privi Speciality |
150 |
2000000 |
13333 |
3154 |
42053333.33 |
|
|
BLUE CHIP TEX |
100 |
2000000 |
20000 |
133 |
2660000.00 |
|
|
Garden Reach Shipbuilders |
112.5 |
2850000 |
25333 |
2793 |
70756000.00 |
GRSE invested after 4.5 years , So ,20 Lakhs become 28.5 lakhs in 4.5 years in FD ( 6% rate) |
|
Total |
401324142.97 |
This portfolio would have grown from ₹1.2 crore to ₹40 crore — a staggering CAGR of around 37.6% over 11 years, achieved with just a 50% success rate (3 winners out of 6). I am still not a full-time investor. There are certainly many investors and fund managers who may have achieved even better results, but one thing that works in my favour is that my stock picks were publicly documented. While many talk about their best picks in interviews, all of mine are recorded on my blog. It takes a lot of courage to write openly about your stock ideas in the public domain. Based on this performance, my hypothetical portfolio would fall within the top 10% of investors over the past decade.
However, I should clarify that the initial investment of ₹1.2 crore in December 2014 was only an assumption. I did not have that amount at the time, and my current portfolio value is definitely less than ₹40 crore. Unfortunately, I still haven’t been able to convince my family to let me leave my full-time job in the IT sector to pursue investing full time. But , one thing is sure my little bit of success can inspire many non full time small investors .
Happy investing and keep paying market it's fees on time by learning from mistakes.