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July 5, 2020

My Stock picks where investors stuck


Everyone writes about successful stocks pick and how followers have made returns. I also did the same-thing when Intrasoft had given 10 times returns in a single year. 

                Earlier, discussed the following stocks in the blog. Followers did their own research, some invested, the majority ignored. The majority was right πŸ˜€. These investors and I stuck in these stocks even if we want to move on. Either price was low or liquidity was low. I apologize to the investors who are stuck and need some cash. These were not completely bad investments but not proved to be good yet. BTW, hope is still alive to prove critics wrong πŸ˜€ 

Stock
Date
Discussed Price
C.P.
comments
Link
FOMENTO RESORTS
Sep-2017
129
127(delisting price 141)
Went to low of 59 , provided averaging opportunity,  avg price around 100
BLUE CHIP
July-2016
85
85
No return except for dividend
TechNVision
Oct-2015
45
225
What a great return then why it is in this list? Because it is illiquid and may not even trade at 100.

FOMENTO RESORTS :  
It provided a good opportunity to average down when good news started flowing but the price was still low.  I distinguished stocks in 3 categories.
  • Crop Type stocks
  • Tree Type Stock
  • Gajarghaas Type Stocks

Crop type of stocks I don’t do averaging up but do averaging down and Fomento was crop type of stock. But, I made an initial mistake on guessing the maturity of this crop. I mean, I though expansion will complete in 1 to 1.5 years but it took 2.5 years.
Now, Fomento has come up with delisting at the price of 141 . It is a big relief for stuck investors. Since Covid19 has badly impacted the hotel industry it is a good to deal.
However, we should also know that the story was just started unfolding, expansion was completed, and the new hotel has started operations.  Fomento Resorts & Hotels has executed a Hotel Operating Agreement (HOA) with the Indian Hotels Company (IHCL) . IHCL is carrying out the operations and marketing of the Hotels under its brands (IHCL SeleQtions like Taj) .Still, delisting is good deal for stuck investors because they had capitalized interest cost for the new hotel. The next few years might be challenging on profit front due to interest cost.

BLUE CHIP :
               Profit is 3x from Fy17 but the price is almost the same as discussed price. Valuation has shrunk. It is trading at just PE of 2.7. Not much appetite in the current market for this type of stock. Investors are stuck can’t sell at this price and liquidity is also low.

TECHNVISION VENTURES LTD

 
                This stock was continually high on hope and very low on delivery. If some other stocks delivered like this I could have said Bye … Bye. But, this is concept stock and even if I want to sell I can’t. Last year, it did the large write-off, it is part and parcel of the product company to write off. Even, every product of Google doesn’t get successful, some goes in dustbin. I thought it will start new innings but this year too posted a negative profit. I was disappointed.
               FY2020 the result is bad, initially I was disappointed because they are winning big customers but not able to convert those wins into profit. But, when I watched webinar of Solix with Microsoft and another one with HCL technology. I realized they are using pricing strategy as “Pay-as-you-Go” for SolixCloud, it means they will not get huge payments upfront but it will be recurring payments like our mobile bills .Secondly, they win these deals with some larger player. So, they get a certain percentage of revenue instead of the full amount. If they are getting recurring charges , then It means existing investors will have to show more patience for the next 1-2 years as well.
               If you track this company closely then it continuously gives high doses of hopes. Should we invest at this price, NO. Existing investors do not have any choice than holding it.


Some updates on TechNVision which again gives high hope.
  • They are working along with companies like HCL Technology and Microsoft
Joint Webinar of Solix and HCL technologies  
 
Joint Webinar of Solix and Microsoft 
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mNaf7QuU7e8&t=11s

  • Founder and CEO Sai Gundavelli is very confident about product and hoping to get billion dollar revenue from it .It may be total revenue instead of yearly. It was very candid interview/podcast.
 
  • HDR Inc a top 5 global design firm in the world has selected SOLIXCloud, software-as-a-service for legacy data decommissioning built on Microsoft Azure.

 
Emagia ( Another subsidiary of Technician) AI-based fintech platforms for receivables and treasury, today announced Gia Docs AI, a next-generation cognitive data capture service.
Finance staff can ask Gia in a chat or voice conversation to read and extract information from invoices, remittances, checks, bank statements, and lock-box files into neatly extracted data files in CSV formats.
“Our mission with Gia Docs AI is to take modern finance organizations to the future of zero manual data extraction in the digital age,” said Veena Gundavelli, Founder & CEO, Emagia. 

  • Large pharma company (40B). It claimed to reduce 80% costs of running and maintaining legacy systems.
     

  Legacy Application Retirement on cloud is a new area of growth. The company is a leading player in that segment.


Notable recent 25 customer acquisitions across multiple industries are :
  1. Acco Brands, American manufacturer of office products
  2. AIG (American International Group), insurance and retirement provider, serving 87% of the Fortune Global 500
  3. Alberta Health Services, Canada’s largest health authority
  4. BAE Systems, world’s third-largest defense company
  5. BC Liquor Stores, top Canadian liquor retail distributor
  6. Catalent Inc., a global provider of drug delivery technology and development solutions
  7. Citigroup, 4th largest bank in the United States
  8. Cuyahoga County government
  9. Edelweiss, leading personal wealth advisor
  10. Experian, the world’s largest credit reporting agency
  11. GE Appliances, one of the largest appliance brands in the United States
  12. Health Care Service Corporation (HCSC), not-for-profit corporation health insurance company
  13. IFFCO Tokio General Insurance Company Limited, 3rd largest private general insurance company in India
  14. Iron Mountain, leading records management and information storage company
  15. Juniper Networks, leading networking hardware and infrastructure company
  16. LinkedIn, largest business social networking service
  17. Molson Coors, the world’s seventh largest brewer by volume
  18. SABIC (Saudi Arabia Basic Industries Corporation), largest public company in Saudi Arabia
  19. Santander Bank, national bank
  20. SONIFI Solutions, interactive content and connectivity solutions provider
  21. Stryker, Fortune 500 medical technologies firm
  22. Unilever, the world’s largest consumer goods company
  23. UnitedHealth Group, a largest healthcare company in the world by revenue
  24. Xylem Inc., leading water technology provider
  25. Zurich Insurance Group, Switzerland’s largest insurer


3 comments:

  1. Pls share Any new stocks you are tracking. They may helpful 2 us.
    i earned good from your intrasoft reco. and in rest of above didnt invested.

    ReplyDelete
  2. Sir your openion on globalspace technologies.

    ReplyDelete
  3. what to do in technvision sir. Stay

    ReplyDelete

Disclaimer

I am not an Investment advisor and do not provide this service via this Blog. The Blog is a personal diary and the stocks discussed on the blog represent my personal views and analysis. They are not recommendations to buy or sell stocks. I do not intend to recommend any stocks for financial or non-financial gains and may or may not be holding the stocks discussed on my blog.

In a nutshell - i am not responsible for the losses or gains made based on the information published on this Blog